Greece AEK Athens – Real Madrid Spain

AEK Athens - Real Madrid: head to head and statistics

Mark your calendar for 4 Nov 2026, when AEK Athens take on Real Madrid in their next match. The Euroranking model gives Real Madrid a 62% probability of winning, compared with 16% for AEK Athens. AEK Athens have posted a recent record of 3 victories, 0 draws, and 2 defeats from their last five games. Over the previous five fixtures, Real Madrid picked up 4 wins, settled for 0 draws, and suffered 1 loss. AEK Athens carry an Elo rating of 1612 points, with Real Madrid currently rated at 1907.

Matches 2026/27

4 Nov 2026 4 Nov 2026 AEK Athens 16% 22% 62% Real Madrid 2026/27 Champions League League phase – Matchday 4

The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.

Ranking position – UEFA

Club 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
2 Spain Real Madrid 30.000 29.000 34.000 24.500 27.000 144.500
84 Greece AEK Athens 1.500 0.000 3.000 2.000 17.500 24.000

Form in recent games

AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026 24 Oct 2026 win 5:0 🏠 Panetolikos Superleague Head-to-head record and team comparison AEK Athens - Panetolikos
20 Oct 2026 20 Oct 2026 loss 1:5 🚌 Manchester City Champions League Head-to-head record and team comparison Manchester City - AEK Athens
14 Oct 2026 14 Oct 2026 loss 1:3 🚌 Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 win 3:0 🏠 OFI Crete Superleague
20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 win 2:1 🚌 Volos NFC Superleague
Real Madrid
21 Oct 2026 21 Oct 2026 win 4:1 🏠 RB Leipzig Champions League Head-to-head record and team comparison Real Madrid - RB Leipzig
18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 win 4:1 🏠 Sevilla FC La Liga
14 Oct 2026 14 Oct 2026 win 4:3 🚌 AS Roma Champions League
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 win 1:0 🏠 Villarreal CF La Liga
20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 loss 1:2 🚌 Atlético de Madrid La Liga Head-to-head record and team comparison Atlético de Madrid - Real Madrid
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Elo Ranking

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Club Elo Last changes
5 Spain Real Madrid 1907 21 Oct 2026
4:1 vs RB Leipzig
Champions League
+7.33
18 Oct 2026
4:1 vs Sevilla FC
La Liga
+2.53
14 Oct 2026
4:3 vs AS Roma
Champions League
+17.88
10 Oct 2026
1:0 vs Villarreal CF
La Liga
+3.27
20 Sep 2026
1:2 vs Atlético de Madrid
La Liga
-11.79
15 Sep 2026
3:2 vs Elche CF
La Liga
+3.69
12 Sep 2026
4:1 vs Rayo Vallecano
La Liga
+3.24
8 Sep 2026
2:1 vs Inter Milan
Champions League
+16.65
4 Sep 2026
0:1 vs Real Betis
La Liga
-13.15
30 Aug 2026
4:0 vs Málaga CF
La Liga
+2.08
70 Greece AEK Athens 1612 24 Oct 2026
5:0 vs Panetolikos
Superleague
+2.00
20 Oct 2026
1:5 vs Manchester City
Champions League
League phase
-6.39
14 Oct 2026
1:3 vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League
League phase
-20.10
10 Oct 2026
3:0 vs OFI Crete
Superleague
+3.36
20 Sep 2026
2:1 vs Volos NFC
Superleague
+2.31
13 Sep 2026
1:1 vs Asteras Tripolis
Superleague
-7.59
8 Sep 2026
1:0 vs LASK
Champions League
League phase
+10.87
5 Sep 2026
5:0 vs Aris Thessaloniki
Superleague
+4.57
30 Aug 2026
1:1 vs AE Kifisia
Superleague
-7.36
26 Aug 2026
4:0 vs Levski Sofia
Champions League
Qualifications - Play-off
+15.26
In the last 30 days, AEK Athens lost 21.13 pts in Elo rating. That number indicates a deterioration in form. The largest gain in that period was +3.36 pts after the match against OFI Crete (3:0, 10 Oct 2026), while the largest loss in that period was -20.10 pts after the game against Shakhtar Donetsk (1:3, 14 Oct 2026). In the last 30 days, Real Madrid gained 31.01 pts in Elo rating. That number indicates a positive change in form. The largest gain in that period was +17.88 pts after the match against AS Roma (4:3, 14 Oct 2026). Read more about our methodology »

Greece - Spain

16 Apr 2026 16 Apr 2026 AEK Athens 3:1 Rayo Vallecano 2025/26 Conference League Quarter-final
9 Apr 2026 9 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3:0 AEK Athens 2025/26 Conference League Quarter-final
19 Mar 2026 19 Mar 2026 Real Betis 4:0 Panathinaikos AO 2025/26 Europa League Round of 16
12 Mar 2026 12 Mar 2026 Panathinaikos AO 1:0 Real Betis 2025/26 Europa League Round of 16
26 Feb 2026 26 Feb 2026 Celta Vigo 1:0 PAOK Thessaloniki 2025/26 Europa League Round of 32

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FAQ

The next match between AEK Athens and Real Madrid will take place on 4 Nov 2026.